Public probability evidence

Are the probabilities honest?

Every complete pre-match probability vector is preserved, paired with a confirmed result and scored under one fixed rule. Small samples are shown as evidence—not promoted as conclusions.

Latest vector ≥ 1h before kickoffConfirmed full-time results onlyComplete outcome vectors
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Interpretation limits

  • One fixture-market decision is selected at the fixed pre-kickoff horizon; repeated observations do not increase the sample.
  • Only complete probability vectors paired with confirmed, scoreable full-time results are evaluated.
  • Markets from the same fixture share one scoreline and are not independent observations.
  • These are probability-quality diagnostics, not evidence of betting profitability.
Inspect every underlying decision